Approximately
60 students attended the first GRA course offering "Geostatistics
for Hydrogeological and Environmental Applications" on July
31 and August 1, 2001. The course, conducted at San Jose
State University, was co-sponsored by the SJSU Geology Department
and was also held in cooperation with the International
Association of Hydrogeologists and the Association of Engineering
Geologists. The course presented students with both the
theory and applications of geostatistics. Dr. Steve Carle's
(the instructor) goals for the course included the following:
- Improve
awareness for potential applications - estimation, quantification
of spatial variability and uncertainty, upscaling, and
simulation.
- Develop
students appreciation for theoretical concepts, including
equations and derivations that are useful for explaining
the origin of the methods.
- Acquire
an ability to interpret geostatistical parameters, so
that geologic insight can be infused and plausibility
can be checked.
- Gain
conceptual understanding that is more lasting than memorization.
- Inspire
interest in confronting subjects involving heterogeneity
and uncertainty.
- Encourage
integration of geologic and quantitative approaches to
modeling.
For
this course, Dr. Carle prepared a very detailed set of course
notes with chapters devoted to the subjects of Bivariate
Statistics, Measuring Spatial Variability, Modeling Spatial
Variability, Kriging, Discrete Random Variables, Conditional
Simulation, and Advanced Hydrogeological Applications. Participants
were also presented with the theory underlying Dr. Carle's
groundbreaking work on transition probability simulation,
which allows the constraint of facies sequence modeling
with geologic rules for fining-upward sequences such as
Walter's law.
The
comprehensive set of course notes provides the central functions
and equations needed to employ geostatistical methods, and
narrative explanations of their application. The notes provide
fundamental geostatistical training concepts in a textbook-style
presentation, with thorough explanations. Dr. Carle is considering
requests by several participants to enhance the notes and
lectures with worked examples, using input/output screen
shots and in-course software walk-throughs, such as those
presented in the GSLIB book by Deutsch and Journel. The
first offering of this course did not include software examples,
as these are readily available off the web at no cost (e.g.
http://www.gslib.com).
Dealing
with the inherent heterogeneity of earth science is obviously
challenging. We are always attempting to identify new ways
to address it. Geostatistical methods are important additions
to the geoscientist's and engineer's toolbox to quantitatively
address the uncertainty associated with spatial data at
varying scales. While a geostatistical approach alone may
not be the only tool, it is certainly a valuable complement
to other tools. As noted by Dr. Carle, "It merges the quantitative
with the subjective, providing bridges between numerical
models and geologic interpretation."
The
course accomplished a great deal in two days, condensing
material usually occupying a semester long graduate course.
As the subject of geostatistics involves material from linear
algebra, probability theory, and other branches of mathematics,
the material can be overwhelming for some. Nevertheless,
the concepts are inherently simple, and the computer codes
for geostatistical analysis are freely available, averting
the need for users to be expert mathematicians. On a difficulty
skill, one participant views the underlying mathematics
as simpler than the mathematics behind groundwater flow
modeling.
Watch
GRA's web site for more information on geostatistical methods.
Since geostatistical methods are gaining recognition in
the context of environmental and hydrogeological applications,
GRA plans to post related information to its web site. We
are going to initiate the web site addition by posting references
contained in the course notes. Other information will follow.
If you have any additional references (software, books,
articles, applications, etc.) that you would like to share,
please e-mail admin@grac.org.
The
next offering of "Geostatistics for Hydrogeological and
Environmental Applications" is anticipated for early 2002,
and may include an evening session to allow presentations
of GRA-member applications of geostatistical methods, discussion,
software demonstrations, and a social hour. Participants
in the August 2001 course would be invited to attend the
evening session, which may double as a special GRA branch
meeting.